Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 7.898647 8.797837 9.809035 11.041193 12.516927 14.247093 16.458691
2025-01-05 6.338125 7.457898 8.828879 10.669751 13.140884 16.445788 21.396218
2025-01-12 5.410028 6.576226 8.079652 10.227325 13.341152 17.921551 25.696461
2025-01-19 4.815155 5.995299 7.576750 9.947111 13.604696 19.439511 30.544993
2025-01-26 4.440901 5.645462 7.315422 9.929417 14.204864 21.589574 37.441614
2025-02-02 4.349559 5.663590 7.559197 10.685543 16.185577 26.736208 53.663170
2025-02-09 4.195073 5.568276 7.614152 11.138743 17.744492 31.700670 74.191483
2025-02-16 3.970125 5.343601 7.438853 11.168618 18.510432 35.292133 95.168487
2025-02-23 3.836950 5.242737 7.443383 11.506354 19.967946 41.238363 135.187291
2025-03-02 3.576670 4.923402 7.058732 11.074180 19.683565 42.461005 156.666443
2025-03-09 3.372610 4.677862 6.774864 10.794404 19.682310 44.547999 189.421774
2025-03-16 3.216317 4.497389 6.584873 10.670250 20.017385 47.897333 244.298247
2025-03-23 3.126078 4.431348 6.610001 11.029754 21.773427 57.896344 446.400299
2025-03-30 2.929495 4.180441 6.293206 10.656806 21.598252 60.844076 619.333508
2025-04-06 2.743456 3.934680 5.964644 10.215070 21.132679 62.380524 825.496282
2025-04-13 2.597604 3.746961 5.725773 9.935345 21.058600 65.819471 1278.804682
2025-04-20 2.499522 3.633555 5.613351 9.917682 21.750951 73.970189 3104.426041
2025-04-27 2.502842 3.693023 5.827651 10.672462 25.115167 103.369227 NaN
2025-05-04 2.467632 3.682252 5.905949 11.124834 27.741082 136.242972 NaN
2025-05-11 2.390234 3.591303 5.818110 11.154654 28.880524 160.903251 NaN
2025-05-18 2.348205 3.561065 5.848720 11.491760 31.400363 213.634245 NaN
2025-05-25 2.237568 3.399849 5.599996 11.060390 30.576766 217.976398 NaN
2025-06-01 2.147997 3.273356 5.415306 10.781126 30.348598 233.192261 NaN